Quantcast

City report offers grim view of future revenue, expenses

Jeremy M. Lazarus | 2/1/2018, 9:18 p.m.
Richmond appears to be booming. Construction is underway on new apartments, commercial space and government buildings.

Richmond appears to be booming. Construction is underway on new apartments, commercial space and government buildings.

And state reports depict growth in employment and a reduction in joblessness in the city.

As Mayor Levar M. Stoney noted in his recent State of the City speech, “Folks across the country have already noticed that our city is moving in a new direction.

“In 2017, Richmond was rated one of the South’s top cities by Southern Living. We made the top five in Business Insider’s Hippest Cities to live in for those under 30. Realtor.com has designated us as a Top 10 Tech Town. And Entrepreneur.com ranked us third on its list of ‘booming cities.’ ”

Just one problem: Richmond’s boom is not delivering a boost to the city’s treasury.

Mayor Stoney’s administration spotlighted the problem in delivering the latest five-year budget forecast to Richmond City Council.

That forecast projects that the expenditures needed to maintain government operations at current levels will exceed revenues in each of the next five years.

The grim picture painted in the Jan. 22 report is of a city under severe financial stress — a view the administration stoutly denied a few months ago when the state auditor of public accounts, Martha Mavredes, included Richmond on a list of cities facing serious financial problems.

The bottom line: Mayor Stoney and City Council will struggle to find the money needed to address the major challenges the mayor outlined in his State of the City speech, such as replacing obsolete school buildings, upgrading aging public housing, expanding after-school recreation and providing competitive salaries for city employees.

Richmond is expected to have $684 million to spend in its general fund for the 2018-19 fiscal year that will start July 1, according to the report.

However, the report states that the city would need $701 million to run the government and meet its obligations, or $17 million more than its projected revenue.

The $17 million would go to pay for the second installment of a three-year program to improve salaries for police officers and firefighters and to provide a 1 percent cost of living increase for the city’s retired workers — the first in nearly 10 years.

The city also wants to spend about $1.2 million to overhaul compensation and make wages more competitive for other city workers.

Also, the city must come up with $2.4 million to cover an increase in debt service on current borrowing and absorb increased costs to support its pension program and cover its share of employee health insurance.

Something must give in order for Richmond to balance its budget if the revenue picture does not change.

The report offers no indication that there will be a change any time soon.

Some City Council members have indicated that the city might need to reduce its workforce by 10 percent or more to cut payroll and provide a cushion to meet other needs.

Meanwhile, Councilman Andreas Addison, 1st District, wants Richmond to look for other sources of revenue. His thought: The city might need to lobby the General Assembly to allow the city to tax ride-sharing services like Uber and Lyft that compete with cab companies but do not contribute any money to the city treasury.

Councilman Parker C. Agelasto, 5th District, has for several years unsuccessfully advocated for the city to consider imposing a tax on cigarettes.

As it now stands, the report projects city expenditures would grow an average of 1.27 percent a year through 2023, while revenue growth is projected to average around 1 percent a year during the same period.

In other words, despite slow growth in expenditures, revenues will not keep pace, a problem previous administrations have had to cope with as well.

According to the Stoney administration report, Richmond is taking two steps forward and one step backward when it comes to income.

While Richmond is projecting increases in some city revenue streams, the income is being offset by declines in other sources.

For example, the report projects a continuing increase in real estate property values through 2023. That means property owners will pay more in tax if the city does not change its current tax rate, $1.20 per $100 of assessed value.

Assuming the nation avoids another sharp recession, the prospect is for property values to increase 3 percent to 5 percent a year, according to the report.

At the same time, however, Richmond expects to see declines in tax collections on machinery and tools and telephone landlines, according to the report.

While Richmond may be attracting company offices and headquarters, those companies are not constructing new manufacturing or production centers in the city.

That means the city is not gaining investments in expensive equipment that can be taxed, while the revenue from the tax on existing equipment drops each year as the value of the equipment depreciates.

Income from the telephone tax has been declining for years as people replace landlines with cell phones and internet-based voice systems. So far, the General Assembly has barred localities from taxing wireless communications.

Richmond is projected to see increased revenue from its tax on prepared food and restaurant meals because of the city’s robust restaurant business and to gain extra income from the tax on hotel rooms because the city is attracting more visitors.

However, revenue from the business, professional and occupational license tax is still declining, indicating that Richmond still is not generating substantial growth in small businesses. So is income from the tax on bank stocks, the report states.

Meanwhile, revenue the city gains from utilities in the form of a payment in lieu of taxes is expected to decline as a result of cuts in the income tax rate charged to businesses that Congress recently approved, according to the report.

While some of the decline is considered likely to be offset as the utilities boost the dividend paid to the city, any decline in the utility payment would only add to the city’s financial stress.